12/12/2023
The housing market has been on quite the roller coaster ride since the beginning of the pandemic. While it was strong prior to 2020, the onset of the pandemic and the societal changes it triggered redefined the role of a home. As work-from-home became the new normal, a house was no longer just a dwelling or a vehicle for wealth creation, but also an office, a classroom, a daycare and even a gym. The broadening role of the home in American life, in conjunction with record-low mortgage rates, powered the housing market to multiple records during this unprecedented time -- the fastest annual house price appreciation, the lowest days on market, and a near-record pace of sales.
Yet, the housing market’s frenetic pace was unsustainable in the long run, so what went up so quickly, had to come down. In response to fast-rising inflation, the Federal Reserve reversed its easy money policy and embarked on the most aggressive monetary tightening since the early 1980s. Mortgage rates increased sharply as a result. With mortgage rates and home prices both high, and inventory limited, one couldn’t buy what’s not for sale and, in many cases, couldn’t afford it either. Home sales in 2023 dipped to the lowest levels in over a decade. While 2023 represented the housing market roller coaster’s descent to the bottom, 2024 is likely the flat stretch representing the calm coast before the next ascent.