Clive Capital

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09/04/2026

A Georgia landowner claimed a $14.175 million tax deduction for a conservation easement. The Tax Court said it was worth $1 million. The Eleventh Circuit just agreed.

The case is Evans v. Commissioner. The property is Dover Hall, a 5,145-acre tract in Glynn County, Georgia, and the dispute centered on a 500-acre conservation easement. The taxpayers’ own appraisers couldn’t adequately explain how they arrived at their number, they simply stacked together flat percentage discounts. The IRS’s expert used actual comparable sales of similar timber properties instead, and the court found that far more credible.

Worth noting: the panel wasn’t unanimous. One judge dissented, arguing the majority skipped a legally required step in the analysis. Even judges don’t always agree on how to value these things, which is exactly why an independent appraisal matters so much before you’re the one defending a number in court.

This connects to something we flagged from the IRS Dirty Dozen list back in July: a real deduction holds up when you show it to a second, unrelated CPA or appraiser. If a number sounds enormous relative to what you paid in, get an independent second opinion before you file, not after the audit letter arrives.

09/03/2026

Brent crude fell to $69 a barrel. Then it spiked to $105. Here’s what actually happened in between.

Renewed attacks on tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, the narrow chokepoint that a huge share of the world’s seaborne oil passes through, cut shipments from an average of 21.6 million barrels a day in the fourth quarter of 2025 to just 4.9 million barrels a day in the second quarter of 2026. Production shut-ins averaged 5.5 million barrels a day in July. Saudi Arabia has been rerouting shipments through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait to compensate, but it isn’t a full offset. Global oil inventories fell by 4.2 million barrels a day in the second quarter as a result.

ELI5 version: think of the Strait of Hormuz as a one-lane bridge carrying a huge share of the world’s oil. When the bridge gets blocked, the price reaction shows up in days, not months.

The EIA now expects Brent to average $85 in the third quarter of 2026 and $78 in the fourth, easing back toward $69 in 2027 as traffic normalizes and inventories rebuild. If you hold working interests or royalty positions, this is a useful reminder that some of the monthly cash flow swings you see track headlines out of the Middle East just as much as they track well-level production numbers.

09/02/2026

Stocks fell this week. Gold and bitcoin didn’t. Here’s why they moved in opposite directions.

A bond market selloff pressured the S&P 500, Dow, and Nasdaq into weekly losses. But bitcoin had its best week in more than two years, gaining roughly 22%, and gold pushed toward some of its highest levels in months. The trigger for the bond stress: the Treasury Department announced it’s doubling its long-term debt buybacks starting September 9 to steady the bond market, and that same move sent a wave of new money into crypto ETFs. About 170,000 leveraged short positions got liquidated in a single 24 hour period, over a billion dollars unwound at once.

ELI5 version: when the safest part of the market, U.S. government bonds, gets shaky, money doesn’t just leave, it looks for somewhere else to go. This week some of it went to gold, the traditional safe haven, and some of it went to bitcoin, which is increasingly being treated as one too, even though the two used to move for completely different reasons.

Worth sitting with: gold rising because people are nervous and bitcoin rising for the same reason is a new pairing. Whether that becomes the norm or was a one week fluke is the actual question here.

Only 20 seats left for our tax education event in Fremont!Our Taxes & Tikkis event is coming up on September 12th. As of...
09/01/2026

Only 20 seats left for our tax education event in Fremont!

Our Taxes & Tikkis event is coming up on September 12th. As of today, we're down to the last 20 spots.

If you've been meaning to RSVP, today's the day. We will be walking through real tax strategies, done right these can mean five to six figures off your tax bill, and you'll get to talk with other investors who've already put some of these strategies to work themselves.

📍 Location: Liberty Room at the Fremont Downtown Event Center (3500 Capitol Avenue, Fremont, CA 94538)
📅 Date: Saturday, September 12th, 2026
⏰ Time: 10:00 AM – 1:00 PM
• 10:00 AM – 11:00 AM: Networking & mingling
• 11:00 AM – 12:00 PM: Tax strategies presentation
• 12:00 PM – 1:00 PM: Networking & chatting
🍽️ Food & Drinks: Tikkis, hot chai, and coffee will be served

RSVP here: https://forms.gle/zfVK8mJ3yAYeAXaj6

08/28/2026

Existing home sales fell last month. They’re also higher than they were a year ago. Both of those things are true at the same time.

July’s numbers from NAR: 4.06 million sales at a seasonally adjusted annual rate, down 1.7% from June, but up 0.7% from a year ago. Median price hit $434,100, up 2.0% year over year, the 37th consecutive month of annual price gains. Inventory sits at 1.54 million units, a 4.6-month supply. The average 30-year mortgage rate was 6.54%. First-time buyers made up 29% of transactions, cash buyers 26%, and the median home spent 29 days on market.

NAR’s chief economist, Lawrence Yun, put it simply: “Home sales have remained stable despite recent mortgage rate increases, with year-to-date sales up 2.4%.”

Regionally it’s uneven. The Northeast rose 2.0% for the month. The South fell 3.1%. The West was flat monthly but up 1.4% for the year. National headlines flatten all of that into one number, and the real story is usually in the regional split.

If you’re watching a specific market for a deal, is it moving with this national trend, or against it?

08/27/2026

The IRS just proposed rules for a workplace benefit most employees haven’t heard of yet.

On August 17, Treasury issued proposed regulations covering nondiscrimination rules for employer contributions to Trump Accounts, up to $2,500 a year per employee or their dependents, and for dependent care assistance programs. The comment period runs through September 25, 2026, with a public hearing scheduled for October 15.

Here’s why the nondiscrimination piece actually matters. Without it, a business owner could technically fund this generously for executives and skip it for everyone else on payroll. Nondiscrimination testing is the mechanism that forces a benefit like this to actually reach the people it’s meant for, not just the corner office.

If you run a business and are thinking about how to structure employee benefits for next year, this is worth a conversation with your CPA now, while the rule is still in proposal form and there’s time to plan around it rather than react to it.

08/26/2026

Private lenders made about $3 billion in AI-related loans in 2010. In 2025 alone, that number was over $40 billion.

The AI data center buildout needs an estimated $1.5 trillion in outside capital through 2028, the gap left after hyperscaler operating cash flow covers what it can of the roughly $2.9 trillion total build cost, according to Morgan Stanley’s research. Private credit is projected to fund about $800 billion of that gap, the single largest external source, ahead of bonds or bank loans individually. Outstanding private credit to AI companies had already crossed $200 billion by late 2025, with lenders including Blackstone, Apollo, and Ares active in the space.

Mechanically, this often works the same way other private credit deals do: the loan sits against a specific, identifiable asset, in this case GPUs, the data center itself, or long-term cloud contracts, rather than against a company’s general creditworthiness.

Worth naming the real risk too. Independent reporting on the Bank for International Settlements’ own research flags that AI companies are taking on more leverage than they’re used to, and if AI returns disappoint or hardware becomes obsolete faster than the debt gets repaid, that leverage can amplify the damage. Same lesson as always: know where a loan sits in the capital stack before you know how excited to be about the yield.

We distributed $104,281.26 to investors in June.Zoom out to the full second quarter and that number becomes $298,025 acr...
08/25/2026

We distributed $104,281.26 to investors in June.

Zoom out to the full second quarter and that number becomes $298,025 across every fund, monthly and quarterly alike, with private debt and oil and gas leading the way.

Zoom out again, to the first half of 2026, and Clive Capital has distributed $454,802 to investors year to date.

Total AUM closed June at $12,368,000, up $1,175,000 in new capital raised that month. Across H1, we've raised $3,268,000 in new capital.

A quarter is a snapshot. A half year is a pattern. Six months in, the pattern is consistent, diversified cash flow across oil and gas, private debt, and real estate.

Want to see how this could fit into your own portfolio?

Book a call to learn more about Clive Capital: calendly.com/keshavkolur/30min

I'm hosting Taxes & Tikkis in Fremont on Saturday, September 12!We are talking about advanced tax strategies that can sa...
08/18/2026

I'm hosting Taxes & Tikkis in Fremont on Saturday, September 12!

We are talking about advanced tax strategies that can save 50%+ on your taxes. Fresh Tikkis and hot chai for us.

If you're an investor, business owner, or high net worth individual in the Bay Area and you've never sat down to actually explore advanced tax strategies instead of just filing your taxes each year, this hour is worth it. Whether this is your first time meeting us or you've worked with us before, come through, there will be plenty of familiar and new faces in the room. Feel free to bring a friend or colleague who'd get value out of this too.

📅 Saturday, September 12
⏰ 10 AM – 1 PM
📍 Liberty Room, Fremont Downtown Event Center

Come for the networking, the presentation, or both, whatever works for you. Only 70 spots though, so RSVP soon!

RSVP link here: https://forms.gle/HDrZjedmqghV576u7

08/17/2026

Gold hit an all time high of $5,595 an ounce on January 29. By late July, it had fallen 28% to around $4,020. It's since recovered to $4,453, up about 11% from that low, though still roughly 20% off the January record. Here's what's actually moving it.

Two things are pulling gold higher again. The dollar has been weakening on concerns about the size of the federal deficit and ongoing trade uncertainty, and a weaker dollar typically makes gold more attractive to international buyers. And central banks worldwide have kept buying gold at a record pace this year to diversify away from dollar reserves, a demand source that doesn't disappear when the price swings.

The Fed is the wildcard everyone's watching for the September meeting, and the honest answer is that the market genuinely does not agree with itself right now. Oil prices spiking on Middle East supply disruptions had strategists raising hike odds through early August, then a weak July jobs report pulled those odds back down within days. Whichever way the futures market is leaning by the time you read this, it has probably moved since we wrote this post. That instability is the story.

ELI5 version: gold tends to rise when people trust the dollar and interest rates less, and right now both of those trust signals are moving in ways nobody, including the Fed, seems fully certain about.

None of this predicts gold keeps climbing. It fell 28% earlier this year on the exact same kind of sentiment shift in reverse. It's a reminder that "safe haven" assets move on expectations, not certainty, same as everything else.

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