04/28/2026
Spring is in full swing — and so is the Bay Area real estate market. Whether you've been thinking about making a move or simply want to stay informed, I wanted to share a clear picture of what's happening right now across our region.
BY THE NUMBERS
• 30-year mortgage rate: ~6.5% (Fed on hold through at least June)
• Bay Area region-wide median price: $1.25M+ (varies widely by county)
• Months of supply: ~2.2 (well below the 5–6 month balanced threshold)
THE BIG PICTURE
Mortgage rates have been hovering in the mid-to-upper 6% range — volatile at times due to geopolitical uncertainty — but still notably lower than the peaks we saw in prior years. The Federal Reserve held rates steady at its March meeting and is widely expected to do so again, with the earliest possible cut now pushed to late summer at the earliest.
Despite the rate environment, the Bay Area continues to defy national softening trends. Inventory remains extremely tight at just 2.2 months of supply regionally — well below the 5–6 months that would indicate a balanced market. This scarcity is keeping competition brisk and prices resilient.
A TALE OF FOUR MARKETS
San Francisco: Single-family home median up +18% year-over-year to $2.15M. Condos surged +27% to $1.36M. Just 1.0 months of SFH inventory. Homes average 14 days on market. Firmly a seller's market.
San Mateo County: Prices down ~7.2% year-over-year, though homes still moving in ~13 days. This correction creates real opportunity for buyers who've been priced out of the Peninsula.
Santa Clara County: Modest price gains with slightly longer days on market, signaling a more selective buyer pool. Well-priced homes near tech corridors continue to perform well.
Alameda / East Bay: Solid sales growth and competitive spring activity. Buyers here are finding relatively more value, and agents report a strong, robust two-sided market.
WHAT THIS MEANS FOR YOU
Thinking of selling? In most Bay Area submarkets, correctly priced homes are still moving quickly. The key word is "correctly" — overpriced listings are sitting, and a price adjustment is much harder to recover from once a home goes stale.
Thinking of buying? Rates are unlikely to drop significantly this year. If you've been waiting for the "perfect" rate, that window may never come. In San Mateo and some East Bay pockets, today's softness represents genuine opportunity.
The bottom line: this market rewards preparation and local knowledge. Generic national headlines rarely apply to our specific neighborhoods. If you want to know what's really happening on your street — or in the neighborhood you've been eyeing — I'd love to dig into it with you.
As always, I'm just a call or text away. No pressure, no pitch — just a real conversation about where things stand and what makes sense for you.
Warmly,
Sources: Freddie Mac PMMS, CAR, theFrontSteps SF Market Report, Redfin, Berkeley/East Bay local data — April 2026.
Loan Nguyen,
Realtor® DRE #02285260
Mony Nop Real Estate Team | COMPASS
Mobile: 408-310-2508 | Email:
[email protected]
www.monynop.com
144 S K street, Livermore, CA, 94550
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