10/04/2024
If Something Cannot Go on Forever;
The completion of this economic law is; ‘If something cannot go on forever, it will stop.’ This quote is attributed to economist Herbert Stein when applying it to the USA’s balance of payments deficits in the 1980s and later to the debate on government healthcare in the 1990s.
It also applies to the real estate condition today. Claims are now being made by many ’knowledgeable’ people in today’s business environment and others that first time buyers will NEVER (caps intended to catch your eye) be able to purchase a home. It is true that the purchase and sale of real estate is more difficult today in the face of higher interest rates and continuing high prices. As I write this, there has been a reduction in mortgage interest rates and a slight reduction in prices of existing homes in many areas. Continuing high insurance rates, some companies not accepting new policies, tax rates also increasing in some areas, energy prices also going up, and a potential slowing of the economy looming make things look fairly dire.
The quote above remains true. While these things cannot go on forever, they will stop. When that is cannot be predicted.
Once the negative clouds of our thinking clear, we may find some item we can focus on. Mortgage interest rates appear to be reducing toward the long-term rates we have experienced for a long time. The days of the 3% mortgage rate are no long in play, but it is reasonable to thin they may go to the high 4% to low 5% in the foreseeable future. This will be helpful as rates continue to slide as more people are given to purchase a home. Of course, more buyers will potentially impact home prices in a way that are not helpful.
Home prices are also falling in a lesser way. Many people complain that there are no home on market today. The listing services are not showing a true lack of inventory today. However, there is likely shortage of homes on market in prices ranges that the current home buyers can afford. This is a time where buyers, using a seasoned agent can has great negotiation skills will help in an immense way in closing a fair deal for both parties.
Additional home costs, all part of the current inflation levels, will probably be reduced over time.
Currently, the largest obstacle in solving this situation is the lack of new available housing. Building a home in today’s economy is particularly difficult. Aside from the cost of land, labor, and materials, there are sometimes crippling costs of zoning, permits, and other government obstacles. When resistance to any building in any area, the delays also add significant costs. All of the costs add enough to the total bill that and economic profit cannot be made.
If you are thinking about the purchase or sale of your property, please contact us so that we can discuss all of the items that are important to you. John can be reached at 512-772-6293 (TX Lic #772888), 925-382-9754 Diana (CA Lic #312786) or via email at [email protected]
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