28/08/2026
I was recently asked by a political party what a serious, long-term policy might look like for addressing New Zealand’s dependence on low- and semi-skilled temporary migrant workers.
The question deserves more than another argument about whether the immigration tap should be turned on or off.
Labour opened the door too widely through the Accredited Employer Work Visa scheme, without adequate verification, monitoring or enforcement. The result was a market in job offers, recruitment debt and exploitation on an unprecedented scale.
The current National-led Government has responded with tighter eligibility, higher wage thresholds and considerable resources directed towards declining applications and removing migrants who entered through that open door.
These approaches appear different, but neither addresses the entrenched problem.
Both continue to treat migrant numbers as the variable that must be adjusted, while leaving untouched the industries and employment structures that have become dependent on a permanently replenished supply of insecure temporary workers.
Worse still, both approaches create opportunities for exploitation.
Labour’s settings allowed access to jobs and visas to be sold. National’s increasingly difficult residence requirements raise the value of apparent compliance. Where residence depends on meeting an unrealistic wage threshold, the result may be wage recycling, artificial payroll arrangements or other methods of making a worker appear eligible on paper.
The more precarious a migrant’s position becomes, the less likely that worker is to report exploitation. Reporting an employer may mean losing the job required to retain a visa or qualify for residence.
A policy intended to prevent abuse can therefore strengthen the employer’s control over the worker.
The real policy question is not simply how many migrants New Zealand should admit during the next economic cycle. It is how we dismantle business models that rely on permanently temporary workers without punishing the migrants whom New Zealand has already recruited.
My proposed approach is to restrict the continual reproduction of temporary status—not the people who already possess it.
In this article, I examine:
• how temporary labour shortages become structural dependencies;
• why neither Labour nor National has solved the underlying problem;
• how both approaches create new opportunities for exploitation;
• why wage thresholds, labour-market tests and shortage lists are inadequate; and
• what a managed five-to-ten-year transition could look like.
Read the full article here:
Explore a long-term policy response to New Zealand’s dependence on temporary migrant labour and the need for sustainable workforce reform.