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At PropSpotter, we deliver straight-up property market insights and investment strategies so you can buy smarter and invest with confidence.

06/10/2026

Before You Invest in Hobart… 🚨👀

So what could go wrong with Hobart? Shawn says there are 3 things to watch. ⚠️

1️⃣ Population

Tasmania has the weakest population growth of any state that isn't shrinking.

If migration stalls, part of the demand thesis weakens.

2️⃣ Fringe supply 🏘️

Around 10,000 potential new homes is significant for a market the size of Hobart.

Buy too close to the new estates and a $550,000 house-and-land package could compete directly with your property.

3️⃣ Expectations

📊 Bank forecasts for Hobart are relatively modest at around 2–4% for the year.

And Shawn is comfortable with that.

Because the strategy isn't about chasing a boom. 🎯

It's about finding the floor.

In a downturn, boring can be exactly what you want.

👉 🎧 Watch the full episode on YouTube — “Hobart Property Market 2026: 8 Suburbs Investors Should Watch | PropSpotter Suburb Deep Dive"

05/10/2026

Hobart Demand Has a Direction 🗺️

The biggest demand drivers in Hobart aren't moving. 📍

🏥 Royal Hobart Hospital is in the city.

The University is in Sandy Bay. 🎓

Government and major C*D employment are in the city.

And the new stadium is planned for Macquarie Point.

These are major demand anchors sitting inside Hobart's established ring.

People who work around them still need somewhere to live.

And when they can't afford the closest suburbs, demand moves north along the Derwent.

Then there's the Bridgewater Bridge. 🌉

It didn't create demand.

🏘️ It changed where that demand could reach.

Glenorchy. Moonah. Claremont. Bridgewater.

These northern suburbs already had some of the more affordable established housing in greater Hobart.

Better connectivity can change the equation.

👉 🎧 Watch the full episode on YouTube — “Hobart Property Market 2026: 8 Suburbs Investors Should Watch | PropSpotter Suburb Deep Dive"

04/10/2026

Hobart: Built Out? 🔍

Here’s the supply trap investors need to understand about Hobart. ⚠️

💰 The federal government had to put $10 million into Brighton just to get the pipes in the ground for 600 homes.

And Hobart's terrain makes the problem even harder.

A flat fringe block can be relatively straightforward to develop.

But established Hobart?

Much of the land is steep, constrained or already built out. 🏘️

That creates a very different supply dynamic.

There isn't an endless stream of new land inside established suburbs like Moonah, Lutana, Rosetta or Bellevue.

The land is already being used.

📍 So adding another home often means replacing an existing one.

That’s the scarcity Shawn wants investors to pay attention to.

👉 🎧 Watch the full episode on YouTube — “Hobart Property Market 2026: 8 Suburbs Investors Should Watch | PropSpotter Suburb Deep Dive"

03/10/2026

Hobart’s 10,000 Home Question 🏠

Hobart has a supply problem. But it isn't as simple as “there's no land.” 🏗️

Hobart is squeezed by geography.

A river. A mountain. Water. And steep terrain.

The government has expanded the urban growth boundary and released 615 hectares across Brighton, Clarence, Kingsborough and Sorell. 🗺️

There are thousands of potential homes in the pipeline.

⚠️ But here’s the catch:

Land isn't the same thing as housing supply.

Water, sewer, power, roads and schools all need to arrive with those lots.

And Tasmania has acknowledged that infrastructure sequencing is still being worked through.

That’s why investors need to look beyond a headline saying “10,000 new homes.”

The real question is:

📍 Where can homes actually be delivered, and how quickly?

👉 🎧 Watch the full episode on YouTube — “Hobart Property Market 2026: 8 Suburbs Investors Should Watch | PropSpotter Suburb Deep Dive"

02/10/2026

Why Hobart Is So Volatile 🎢

Most people think Hobart is a sleepy property market. They’re missing the bigger story. 👀

Hobart is actually one of Australia's most volatile capital markets.

Why?

It’s a thin market.

Fewer dwellings. Fewer transactions. And a much bigger influence from interstate buyers coming in with equity from Sydney and Melbourne. 💰

That money can move quickly.

When mainland conditions tighten, it can disappear quickly.

When conditions improve, it can return before local buyers have even noticed.

So Hobart can lead the cycle. 📈

Not because anyone can predict the market perfectly, but because the first money to move can have an outsized impact in a thin market.

👉 🎧 Watch the full episode on YouTube — “Hobart Property Market 2026: 8 Suburbs Investors Should Watch | PropSpotter Suburb Deep Dive"

01/10/2026

8 Hobart Suburbs Investors Should Watch 🧭

Hobart looks small. But its property market can move FAST. 👀

Last year, Tasmania released 615 hectares of land for around 10,000 new homes.

Sounds like plenty of supply, right? 🏘️

But here’s the interesting part…

📍 Hobart just recorded one of the smallest capital-city falls in August, down 0.2%.

That isn't the whole story.

In this episode, Shawn breaks down Hobart’s geography, property cycle, new land supply and the exact suburbs where scarcity could actually matter for investors.

👉 🎧 Watch the full episode on YouTube — “Hobart Property Market 2026: 8 Suburbs Investors Should Watch | PropSpotter Suburb Deep Dive"

19/09/2026

⏳⚖️ Six Months Early vs Six Months Late

🔪 Trying to perfectly time the bottom could be the biggest mistake.

Over 30 years, Shawn says the average Australian property downturn lasted around 12 months and took roughly 4% off values.

The average upswing?

📈 Around 41 months and approximately 34% growth.

So you're trying to perfectly time a 12-month window inside a 41-month upswing.

And there's a problem...

The bottom is only visible in hindsight.

By the time everyone knows the market has bottomed, the best stock may already be gone.

That's why Shawn's approach isn't about catching the falling knife.

It's about letting it get most of the way to the floor, then focusing on:

🏠 The right asset
📍 The right suburb
💰 A yield that works
📊 Strong underlying fundamentals

His key line says it all:

“Six months early on a well-filtered asset beats six months late on a great one, every time.”

👉 🎧 Watch the full episode on YouTube — “Australia’s Property Downturn: The Falling Knife Is Closer to the Floor"

18/09/2026

2020 Was Supposed to CRASH Property… 🦠

🚨 2020 was supposed to be a property disaster.

Borders shut.

Migration went to zero.

Unemployment was forecast to reach 10%.

CBA modelled an 11% decline in house prices.

Westpac forecast 20%.

And a 30% slump was even considered if lockdowns dragged on.

Then reality looked very different.

📉 National property values fell just 1.7%.

They found a floor by June.

And from July 2020 to April 2022?

📈 National values rose 33%.

Why?

One of the biggest lessons from COVID wasn't simply that forecasts can be wrong.

It was that fear can change supply just as dramatically as it changes demand.

People stopped selling.

Stock on the market collapsed.

And the recovery wasn't equal across Australia.

💡 Fundamentals decided which markets recovered strongest.

👉 🎧 Watch the full episode on YouTube — “Australia’s Property Downturn: The Falling Knife Is Closer to the Floor"

17/09/2026

🇦🇺 Australia’s Property Crash… Then THIS Happened 😱

📉 Remember how scary the 2022–23 property downturn felt?

Australia went through one of its fastest rate-hiking cycles on record.

300 basis points in just eight months.

National property values fell 8.1% in nine months.

Sydney fell 13%.
Brisbane 10%.
Melbourne 8.5%.

It looked ugly.

But here's the part investors often forget...

Property values bottomed in February 2023 and then rose 14.5% over the following 20 months, even while interest rates were still rising.

But Shawn also highlights the other side of the story.

Perth and Darwin experienced much longer downturns because their economies were heavily exposed to single industries.

💡 The lesson?

A national property recovery doesn't automatically lift every suburb.

Local fundamentals matter.

👉 🎧 Watch the full episode on YouTube — “Australia’s Property Downturn: The Falling Knife Is Closer to the Floor"

16/09/2026

Property Prices Under Pressure ⏬

📊 The unemployment headline doesn't tell the whole story.

Australia's unemployment rate has risen to 4.5%.

That sounds concerning.

But compare it with the 11% unemployment rate during the early 1990s recession and 7.5% during the COVID shock.

Both things can be true:

📉 Unemployment has risen.
📊 The labour market is still historically tight.

And Shawn makes an important point:

Which one should actually drive a 20-year property investment decision?

He then looks back across 40 years of Australian property downturns and finds a pattern that might surprise investors.

There have been 10 capital-city downturns lasting at least three months, and most lasted less than 12 months.

The question isn't just how bad the headlines sound.

It's how long the downturn actually lasts.

👉 🎧 Watch the full episode on YouTube — “Australia’s Property Downturn: The Falling Knife Is Closer to the Floor"

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